Combine Data
Physical profiles, athletic benchmarks, and the myths that don't hold up
QBIdeal Athletic Profile
40 time has near-zero correlation with NFL success for QBs. Arm strength, accuracy, and processing speed matter far more.
Physical Evolution by Era
| Era | Avg WR 40 Time | Avg RB Weight | Avg TE Height |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2000-2005 | 4.53s | 218 lbs | 6'3.5" |
| 2006-2010 | 4.50s | 216 lbs | 6'4" |
| 2011-2015 | 4.49s | 214 lbs | 6'4.5" |
| 2016-2020 | 4.48s | 211 lbs | 6'4.5" |
| 2021-2025 | 4.46s | 210 lbs | 6'5" |
Data sourced from NFL Combine results 2000-2025. WRs are getting faster, RBs are getting lighter, and TEs are getting taller.
The 40-Yard Dash Myth & Other Combine Misconceptions
A fast 40 time guarantees NFL success
Since 2000, only 34% of WRs who ran sub-4.40 at the combine became fantasy-relevant starters. Game speed, route-running, and contested catch ability are far stronger predictors.
Bench press reps predict blocking ability
Bench press has near-zero correlation with offensive line performance. Technique, football IQ, and lower-body power (measured by broad jump) are much more predictive.
Smaller RBs can't handle a full workload
RBs under 210 lbs have shown comparable durability rates to larger backs. Workload management and scheme fit matter more than raw size for longevity.
Combine performance is the top draft predictor
College production (dominator rating, breakout age) is 2-3x more predictive than combine results for WRs and RBs. The combine confirms physical traits but rarely reveals new stars.